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Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 394.6 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 596.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 11.1 billion yuan.More than 100 underground money houses have been destroyed by public security organs to crack down on the money-changing party. The Ministry of Public Security held a press conference today (13th) to inform the public security organs throughout the country of the effectiveness of measures to crack down on the money-changing party and derivative crimes. According to the press conference, in May 2024, the Ministry of Public Security deployed the national public security organs to carry out special work to crack down on the rectification of the "money exchange party" and derivative crimes, cracked a series of cases, arrested a group of "money exchange party" personnel, and smashed a group of "underground money houses". The whole chain destroyed a group of criminal gangs and achieved remarkable results. Since the action, the Ministry of Public Security has listed and supervised 16 major cases; The National Immigration Bureau instructed the border inspection authorities in Zhuhai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou and other places to actively cooperate with the special work class to carry out verification and disposal and personnel transfer. Since the special action, 142 personnel of the "money exchange party" have been seized and handed over to the special work class according to law. A total of 263 derivative criminal gangs suspected of illegal business operations, organizing illegal border crossing, fraud, illegal detention, etc. were destroyed in various places, and more than 100 underground money houses were destroyed, and more than 80 billion yuan of funds involved were identified. The headquarters in front of the Ministry of Public Security further strengthened the clues, organized relevant provinces to carry out five centralized arrests, arrested 846 suspects and cracked a number of major cases.

Keshun Co., Ltd. and others set up a new building materials company in Jiangmen. The enterprise search APP shows that Jiangmen Yinzhou Lake Keshun Building Materials Co., Ltd. was established recently, with Feng Bihua as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of photovoltaic equipment and components; Manufacturing of eco-environmental materials; Water pollution prevention and control services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly held by Keshun and others.Wuzhou Spring today bought 101 million yuan and sold 140 million yuan on Shanghai Stock Connect. Wuzhou Spring today traded at a daily limit, with a turnover of 4.335 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 35.76%. After-hours data showed that Ningbo Sangtian Road mat bought 77.1945 million yuan, and Shanghai Stock Connect special seats bought 101 million yuan and sold 140 million yuan.Today, Shengguang Group bought 170 million yuan and sold 171 million yuan at the daily limit, with a turnover of 6.558 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.239%. After-hours data show that the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 170 million yuan and sold 171 million yuan.

The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.The implementation of personal pension system will bring multiple impacts. According to CCTV news, the implementation of personal pension system will have a far-reaching impact on China's old-age security system. This system aims to improve the multi-level old-age security system, encourage individuals to participate in old-age savings, and improve the level of life security after retirement. In addition, the establishment of individual pension accounts will provide new business growth points for financial institutions and help the development of the capital market. On the whole, this move is expected to promote the transformation of the concept of social pension and promote the sustainable development of the pension service industry.Hyundai Motor set up 200 million technology companies in Shanghai, including a number of AI-related businesses. According to Tianyancha App, Hyundai Kemo (Shanghai) Technology Co., Ltd. was recently established, with NOH YONG HO as the legal representative and a registered capital of 213 million RMB. Its business scope includes application system integration services in artificial intelligence industry, Internet of Things application services, data processing services, artificial intelligence basic software development, artificial intelligence application software development, artificial intelligence theory and algorithm software development, etc. According to shareholder information, the company is wholly owned by Hyundai Motor Co., Ltd.